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Microsoft haven't had the best launch for their latest Windows Phone 7 operating system, but they might take some comfort that the latest IDC WorldWide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker report indicates that they could surpass Apple's iOS platform by 2015.
IDC are making predictions that Android will have 43.8 percent of the market in 2015 followed by Windows Phone at 20.3 percent. Apple's iOS is going to drop to 16.9 percent. This report might be a surprise for many people who feel that Microsoft are really struggling in the mobile sector, with even their latest Windows Phone 7 platform struggling to gain any kind of serious momentum.
At the end of 2011, IDC are saying that Android will have the highest market share at 38.9 percent with Nokia's Symbian at 20.6 percent, then iOS at 18.2 percent. Nokia obviously are not putting any weight behind Symbian anymore and the current position is simply due to Nokia's reputation and strong user base, especially in Europe. Nokia are commiting to supporting Symbian devices until 2016, but after that, its over.
With Nokia moving to Windows Phone now for its future needs, IDC are clearly planning ahead to a user ‘switch over' to the Microsoft operating system. We feel it might not be that clear cut however. Nokia are a very troubled company right now and their stock prices have dropped significantly in recent months. Microsoft have also yet to prove themselves in the mobile market
IDC claim that 1 billion smartphones will ship in 2015 which is more than double the estimated figures due to ship this year. Google are facing some tough times also, even though their growth is strong, they are currently dealing with legal issues relating to Android software patents which could damage them long term.
KitGuru says: Android to dominate and Microsoft to catch up?
Does IDC realize that Apple’s Mobile Market Share only continues to grow? Did they miss the massive Day 1 iPad 2 sales, the massive White iPhone Day 1 Sales, all the people waiting eagerly for the iPhone 5? Did they miss the cheers of the 200+ new Features coming with Apple’s iOS 5 in the Fall?
Funny thing about predictions…. If Android went Bankrupt tomorrow, all that would fly right out the window……
I don’t even see where people believe they can make accurate predictions without having Roadmaps of every Company’s future launch products, all the features involved, bla bla bla. There’s just too much to calculate to just say “Oh Android is rising now, by 2015 they’ll be playing Dominatrix on the Market.”
And please, nobody tell me they have an Apple Roadmap. Apple doesn’t make Roadmaps. Not Roadmaps they announce publicly anyway, and since they don’t, its probably safe to say they wouldn’t bother passing one on to IDC either.
nah this can’t be right. Microsoft phones are not doing well, and just because Nokia bought into them doesnt immediately translate into market dominance behind android?
I cant fathom this report at all and ive read it 5 times now.
Don’t listen/read IDC’s claims. Their job is to get paid for conducting these types of prediction studies…Even though they are completely off.
IDC are really paid to produce material for marketing to use. ie: Try to use science or maths/statistics angle in order to pass off as legit studies.
Microsoft is one of IDC’s regular clients. The relationship goes as far back as 2002.
=> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Studies_related_to_Microsoft